Rugby

Tennis

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Saba Purtseladze: our prediction

30/03/2026•12:50

#66

Daniel Merida Aguilar

2:0

6•1

6•2

Finished

#396

Saba Purtseladze

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Saba Purtseladze Preview — Bucharest Open, Qualification

Daniel Merida Aguilar, clear favorite with odds of 1.06, faces Saba Purtseladze, underdog at 7.37, in the Bucharest Open qualifiers. Recent statistics show superior form from Merida Aguilar, especially as a favorite. No injury alerts reported.

Our Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Saba Purtseladze predictions

Victory for Daniel Merida Aguilar

Merida Aguilar is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.06). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% wins in his last 10 matches in that role. Purtseladze has a low win rate as an underdog (10%) and inferior recent overall form (30% wins in last 10 matches). The difference in level and confidence is significant.

1.05

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

The match is best of 3 sets (non-Grand Slam). Set statistics show Purtseladze finishes 80% of his recent matches in 2 sets. Merida Aguilar, while having a 50% chance of losing a set as a favorite, also has a 50% rate of matches in 2 sets as a favorite. The probability of a match in 2 sets (thus under 2.5) is higher than a match in 3 sets, consistent with the expected favorite victory.

1.17

Confidence

High

Market signals on Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Saba Purtseladze

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Saba Purtseladze Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniel Merida Aguilar	Saba Purtseladze
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	22%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	44%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%