Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel — Prediction
30/03/2026•14:30
#92
Sumit Nagal
0:2
1•6
6•7
Finished
#67
Toby Samuel
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Sumit Nagal, the match favorite, faces Toby Samuel in Barletta. Nagal, more experienced, has odds of 1.77 against 1.93 for Samuel. Recent statistics show Nagal tends to play tight matches (70% of his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches went to 3 sets), while Samuel often wins his matches in 2 sets (90%). No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Toby Samuel has won 90% of his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate remains at 90%. Sumit Nagal, although the favorite, has lost 70% of his last 10 matches. The dynamic suggests Samuel can impose his pace and finish in two sets.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If Toby Samuel wins in 2 sets as his statistics suggest (90%), a likely scenario is 6-4, 6-4 (20 games) or 6-3, 6-4 (19 games). Nagal, struggling (only 40% wins), might struggle to push each set beyond 12 games. The probability of a short match in terms of games is consistent with the under 2.5 sets prediction.
1.68
Confidence
Medium
Victory of Player Toby Samuel
Samuel is in excellent form with 10 wins in his last 10 matches (100%). As a favorite, his win rate is 100%. Nagal, although the favorite on paper (odds 1.77), has won only 40% of his last 10 matches and only 50% when he is the favorite. Current form clearly favors Samuel.
1.98
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 10 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 14% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 10% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 12% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers