Rugby

Tennis

Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel: our prediction

30/03/2026•14:30

#92

Sumit Nagal

0:2

1•6

6•7

Finished

#88

Toby Samuel

Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel Preview — Barletta

Sumit Nagal, the match favorite, faces Toby Samuel in Barletta. Nagal, more experienced, has odds of 1.77 against 1.93 for Samuel. Recent statistics show Nagal tends to play tight matches (70% of his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches went to 3 sets), while Samuel often wins his matches in 2 sets (90%). No injuries reported.

Our Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Toby Samuel has won 90% of his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate remains at 90%. Sumit Nagal, although the favorite, has lost 70% of his last 10 matches. The dynamic suggests Samuel can impose his pace and finish in two sets.

1.5

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

If Toby Samuel wins in 2 sets as his statistics suggest (90%), a likely scenario is 6-4, 6-4 (20 games) or 6-3, 6-4 (19 games). Nagal, struggling (only 40% wins), might struggle to push each set beyond 12 games. The probability of a short match in terms of games is consistent with the under 2.5 sets prediction.

1.66

Confidence

Medium

Victory of Player Toby Samuel

Samuel is in excellent form with 10 wins in his last 10 matches (100%). As a favorite, his win rate is 100%. Nagal, although the favorite on paper (odds 1.77), has won only 40% of his last 10 matches and only 50% when he is the favorite. Current form clearly favors Samuel.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sumit Nagal	Toby Samuel
Win \| Lose	4 6	10
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	14%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	42%	66%