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Felix Gill vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Prediction

30/03/202615:40
Felix Gill
#124
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Felix Gill

2:0
64
62
Finished
Gianluca Cadenasso
#137
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Gianluca Cadenasso

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1
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X
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2

Match Preview

Felix Gill faces Gianluca Cadenasso in Barletta. Gill, in recent form (6W/4L), is the underdog but performs well in that role (60% wins). Cadenasso, the favorite (odds 1.78), has an excellent win rate as a favorite (80%). No injuries reported. A tight match is expected.

Our predictions

Under 2.5 sets
Statistics show a strong tendency for 2-set matches for both players when they are favorites (70% each). Furthermore, Cadenasso's recent form as a favorite (80% wins) and Gill's tendency to often win a set as an underdog (90%) suggest a potentially tight match in two sets, but without going to a decisive tie-break.
1.51
Confidence
High
Victory for Gianluca Cadenasso
Cadenasso is the designated favorite (odds 1.78). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 80% wins in his last 10 matches in that role. He also shows solid overall form (7W/3L in the last 10 matches). Against Gill, who has a loss statistic of 40% in the last 10 matches, Cadenasso has a clear statistical advantage.
1.79
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games
Although we predict a match in 2 sets, the respective strengths and resistance statistics suggest tight sets. Gill often wins a set as an underdog (90%), and Cadenasso often loses a set as a favorite (50%). This could lead to scores like 7-5, 6-4 or 6-4, 7-5, easily exceeding the threshold of 22.5 total games.
2.08
Confidence
Medium

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