Omar Jasika vs Li Tu — Prediction
31/03/2026•04:10
#169
Omar Jasika
2:0
7•6
6•4
Finished
#19
Li Tu
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Li Tu, clear favorite (odds 1.28), faces Omar Jasika (odds 3.36) in an ATP tournament in Miyazaki. Recent statistics show better form from Li Tu, with a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches compared to 20% for Jasika. Li Tu is also more successful as a favorite (80% wins). The match should be close, with a high probability of seeing more than 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Li Tu to Win
Li Tu is the statistical and logical favorite. He has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 20% for Jasika. As a favorite (odds 1.21-1.50), he wins 100% of his matches (3/3). His global win rate as a favorite is 80%. No known injury alerts. The odds of 1.28 reflect his favorite status but remain interesting given his consistency.
1.29
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games
Since the 'Over 2.5 Sets' bet is favored, a 3-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Li Tu's tendency to lose sets and Jasika's ability to win one support this scenario. However, a quick 2-set win by Li Tu (possible but less likely according to stats) could jeopardize this bet.
-
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 71% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 12% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 42% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers