Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsuda Prediction - Odds, Tips & Analysis

31/03/2026•08:55

Hiroki Moriya

2:1

4•6

6•4

6•0

Finished

#296

Koki Matsuda

Match Preview

Hiroki Moriya, the favorite (odds 1.61), faces Koki Matsuda (odds 2.19) in an ATP tournament in Miyazaki. Moriya shows solid form as a favorite (70% win rate) and a strong tendency to finish matches in 2 sets (90%). Matsuda, the underdog, has mixed performances (20% recent wins). No known injury alerts. The match is expected to be dominated by Moriya, with a high probability of a 2-set victory.

Our predictions

Hiroki Moriya to Win

Hiroki Moriya is the clear favorite with odds of 1.61. His statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% wins in his last 10 matches as a favorite. Additionally, he has won 40% of his last 10 matches, compared to only 20% for Matsuda. Recent form and favorite status support this prediction.

1.61

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a 2-set match (6-4, 6-4 or similar scores), the total number of games should remain low. Moriya's quick-set statistics (90% wins in 2 sets as a favorite) and Matsuda's frequent losses (80% recent losses) indicate that sets could be one-sided, limiting the total games. However, the lack of precise game data makes this prediction less certain.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Hiroki Moriya	Koki Matsuda
Win \| Lose	4 6	1 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	40%	0%

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