Rugby

Tennis

Hailey Baptiste - Renata Zarazua: our prediction

02/04/2026•02:05

#18

Hailey Baptiste

1:2

6•3

3•6

4•6

Finished

#67

Renata Zarazua

Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazua Preview — Credit One Charleston Open

Hailey Baptiste, clear favorite (odds 1.31), faces Renata Zarazua (odds 3.29) at the Credit One Charleston Open. Baptiste shows solid form (6 wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win her matches in 2 sets (80%) when favored. Zarazua, the underdog, has a limited ability to cause an upset (20% win rate as outsider). No known injury alerts for either player.

Our Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazua predictions

Hailey Baptiste to Win

Hailey Baptiste is the logical favorite (odds 1.31). Her statistics are solid: 60% win rate in last 10 matches, and crucially 80% win rate when favored. She has won 100% of her matches as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2 (2/2). Renata Zarazua wins only 20% of her matches as an outsider. No injuries reported.

1.33

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Data indicates a high probability of a 2-set match. Baptiste finishes 80% of her matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 2 sets when favored. Overall, she finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Zarazua, as an outsider, finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is low (20% for Baptiste, 30% for Zarazua in non-Grand Slam matches).

1.43

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set match. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games. A 2-set match with a wider set (e.g., 6-2, 6-3) totals 17 games. Given Baptiste's clear superiority and her tendency to win in 2 sets, a total games under 22.5 is plausible. However, Zarazua has a moderate ability to win a set (30% as outsider), which could increase the game count.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazua

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazua Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Hailey Baptiste	Renata Zarazua
Win \| Lose	6 4	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	55%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	71%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	12%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	12%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%