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Tennis

Thiago Agustin Tirante - Mackenzie McDonald: our prediction

01/04/2026•23:40

#50

Thiago Agustin Tirante

2:0

6•2

6•0

Finished

#40

Mackenzie McDonald

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald Preview — US Men's Clay Court Championships

Thiago Agustin Tirante, the odds favorite (1.44), faces Mackenzie McDonald (2.72) in the US Men's Clay Court Championships. Recent statistics show solid form from Tirante as a favorite, while McDonald struggles as an outsider. No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency for two-set matches for McDonald, but Tirante appears to have the edge.

Our Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald predictions

Thiago Agustin Tirante to Win

Tirante is the clear favorite with odds of 1.44. His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% win rate in his last 10 matches as a favorite. Furthermore, he has a 100% win rate (2/2) when his odds are between 1.0 and 1.2. McDonald, on the other hand, wins only 10% of his matches as an outsider. No injuries disrupt this advantage.

1.45

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics in non-Grand Slam matches (relevant here) show a strong tendency for two-set matches. McDonald has an 80% rate (8/10) of two-set matches as an outsider. Tirante, as a favorite, has 50% (5/10) two-set matches, but loses at least one set in 60% of cases. However, McDonald's low ability to win as an outsider (10%) suggests that if Tirante takes control, he could finish in two sets. The combination favors a short match.

1.51

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

Although we predict a two-set match (Under 2.5), the sets could be tight. Tirante often loses a set as a favorite (60%), and McDonald has shown an ability to win sets as an outsider (30-60% depending on opponent's odds). Even a two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) would total 22 games. An additional set would easily push the total over 22.5. The likelihood of competitive sets makes this bet viable.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Thiago Agustin Tirante	Mackenzie McDonald
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	20%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	50%

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