Rugby

Tennis

Hayato Matsuoka - Liam Broady: our prediction

02/04/2026•06:15

#231

Hayato Matsuoka

1:2

7•6

1•6

2•6

Finished

#72

Liam Broady

Hayato Matsuoka vs Liam Broady Preview — Miyazaki

Liam Broady is the clear favorite (odds 1.44) against Hayato Matsuoka (odds 2.63) in this ATP match in Miyazaki. Broady shows more solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs 50% for Matsuoka) and better efficiency as a favorite. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a significant probability of seeing over 2.5 sets.

Our Hayato Matsuoka vs Liam Broady predictions

Liam Broady to Win

Broady is the designated favorite (odds 1.44) with superior recent form (6W/4L vs 5W/5L). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% win rate). No known injury alert contradicts this status.

1.53

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Both players tend to play long matches. Matsuoka often wins at least one set as an outsider (70%). Broady, as a favorite, loses at least one set 60% of the time. Their historical percentages of 3-set matches (excluding Majors) are high (40% and 30%).

2.4

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of over 2.5 sets makes this bet consistent. A 3-set match (6-4, 4-6, 6-4) already totals 30 games. Even a tight 2-set match (7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. The probability of tight sets and a long match supports this scenario.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Hayato Matsuoka vs Liam Broady

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hayato Matsuoka vs Liam Broady Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Hayato Matsuoka	Liam Broady
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	75%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	77%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	71%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	60%