Hayato Matsuoka vs Liam Broady — Prediction
02/04/2026
#166
Hayato Matsuoka
04:00
Tomorrow
#72
Liam Broady
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Liam Broady is the clear favorite (odds 1.44) against Hayato Matsuoka (odds 2.63) in this ATP match in Miyazaki. Broady shows more solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs 50% for Matsuoka) and better efficiency as a favorite. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a significant probability of seeing over 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Liam Broady to Win
Broady is the designated favorite (odds 1.44) with superior recent form (6W/4L vs 5W/5L). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% win rate). No known injury alert contradicts this status.
1.43
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Both players tend to play long matches. Matsuoka often wins at least one set as an outsider (70%). Broady, as a favorite, loses at least one set 60% of the time. Their historical percentages of 3-set matches (excluding Majors) are high (40% and 30%).
2.54
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of over 2.5 sets makes this bet consistent. A 3-set match (6-4, 4-6, 6-4) already totals 30 games. Even a tight 2-set match (7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. The probability of tight sets and a long match supports this scenario.
2
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 77% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 55% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 57% | 50% |
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