Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone — Prediction
03/04/2026•15:25
#44
Alex Molcan
1:2
6•3
2•6
3•6
Finished
#28
Mariano Navone
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Mariano Navone, the clear favorite (odds 1.37), faces Alex Molcan (odds 3.02) at the Bucharest Open. Navone shows more solid form (80% win rate in last 10 matches) and an excellent 2-0 win statistic (80%) as the favorite. Molcan, although performing as an underdog on some surfaces, seems to be struggling. The match should be tight but Navone is the heavy favorite.
Our predictions
Mariano Navone to Win
Navone is the designated favorite (odds 1.37) with excellent form (8W/2L in last 10 matches). His stats as favorite are solid: 70% win rate overall and 80% 2-0 wins. Molcan, as an underdog, wins only 40% of his matches. The momentum and odds clearly favor Navone.
1.38
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
Navone has a strong tendency to win 2-0 as the favorite (80% in his last 10 matches). Molcan, as the underdog, often loses 0-2 (90% of his losses in 2 sets). The probability of a 2-set match (2-0 or 0-2 win) is therefore high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 Sets' bet.
1.44
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a 2-set match, the total number of games tends to be lower. If Navone dominates as expected (potential 2-0), scores like 6-3, 6-4 would result in 19 games. Even with a tight set, the total should remain under 22.5, especially considering the statistical trends of both players in favorite/underdog situations.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 14% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 85% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 22% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 77% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 14% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 71% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 50% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers