Mili Poljicak vs Lorenzo Giustino — Prediction
03/04/2026
#243
Mili Poljicak
10:00
Tomorrow
#149
Lorenzo Giustino
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X
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2
Match Preview
Mili Poljicak, the young Croatian player, faces experienced Italian Lorenzo Giustino on clay in Barletta. Poljicak shows superior recent form (80% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win in two sets (70%). Giustino, more irregular (60% wins), often plays three-set matches (60%). No known injury alerts. The match could be tight, with a slight edge for Poljicak's current form.
Our predictions
Mili Poljicak to Win
Poljicak shows significantly superior recent form (80% wins vs 60% for Giustino in last 10 matches). His tendency to win in two sets (70%) is an advantage. Although Giustino is experienced, his consistency is lower. No injuries reported. The odds of 1.80 offer good value for the statistical favorite's win.
1.8
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
Poljicak wins 70% of his non-Slam matches in two sets. Giustino loses 40% of his matches in two sets. A two-set win by Poljicak (likely scenario) would often result in a total games count under 22.5 (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). Even in a three-set scenario, if one set is very tight, the total can stay under. Poljicak's statistic supports this bet.
1.9
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets in the Match
Poljicak finishes 70% of his non-Slam matches in two sets. Giustino, although having a tendency for three sets (60%), has also lost 40% of his matches in two sets. Poljicak's superior form and ability to finish quickly make the two-set scenario (i.e., 2-0 for Poljicak or 2-0 for Giustino) more likely than a three-set match. Consistent with the 'Under 22.5 Games' bet.
1.75
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 83% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 85% | 60% |
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