Rugby

Tennis

Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino: our prediction

03/04/2026•15:50

#254

Mili Poljicak

2:1

6•2

3•6

6•2

Finished

#149

Lorenzo Giustino

Mili Poljicak vs Lorenzo Giustino Preview — Barletta

Mili Poljicak, the young Croatian player, faces experienced Italian Lorenzo Giustino on clay in Barletta. Poljicak shows superior recent form (80% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win in two sets (70%). Giustino, more irregular (60% wins), often plays three-set matches (60%). No known injury alerts. The match could be tight, with a slight edge for Poljicak's current form.

Our Mili Poljicak vs Lorenzo Giustino predictions

Mili Poljicak to Win

Poljicak shows significantly superior recent form (80% wins vs 60% for Giustino in last 10 matches). His tendency to win in two sets (70%) is an advantage. Although Giustino is experienced, his consistency is lower. No injuries reported. The odds of 1.80 offer good value for the statistical favorite's win.

1.62

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

Poljicak wins 70% of his non-Slam matches in two sets. Giustino loses 40% of his matches in two sets. A two-set win by Poljicak (likely scenario) would often result in a total games count under 22.5 (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). Even in a three-set scenario, if one set is very tight, the total can stay under. Poljicak's statistic supports this bet.

1.9

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Poljicak finishes 70% of his non-Slam matches in two sets. Giustino, although having a tendency for three sets (60%), has also lost 40% of his matches in two sets. Poljicak's superior form and ability to finish quickly make the two-set scenario (i.e., 2-0 for Poljicak or 2-0 for Giustino) more likely than a three-set match. Consistent with the 'Under 22.5 Games' bet.

1.5

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Mili Poljicak vs Lorenzo Giustino

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mili Poljicak vs Lorenzo Giustino Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Mili Poljicak	Lorenzo Giustino
Win \| Lose	8 2	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	83%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	25%