Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Assche — Prediction
03/04/2026•16:20
#29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
0•6
6•3
6•2
Finished
#48
Luca Van Assche
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Close match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luca Van Assche at the Grand Prix Hassan II on clay. Carabelli, a slight favorite, faces Van Assche, who is in better recent form (70% win rate vs 50%). Statistics suggest a contested match, potentially going to three sets.
Our predictions
Luca Van Assche to Win
Van Assche shows superior recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches vs 50% for Carabelli). He is very effective as a favorite (90% win rate). Although Carabelli is a slight favorite according to the odds, recent performance data leans towards Van Assche.
1.93
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Both players have high statistics for three-set matches (Carabelli: 30%, Van Assche: 20% outside Majors). Furthermore, Carabelli often loses a set as a favorite (60%), and Van Assche often wins a set as an underdog (70%). This indicates a high probability of a three-set match.
2.28
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a three-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in two sets, if the sets are close (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can reach 22 games. The tendency for contested sets, combined with the probability of three sets, supports this bet.
1.84
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 57% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 42% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 42% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 71% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 50% |
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