Mariano Navone vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction
04/04/2026•12:10
#28
Mariano Navone
2:1
5•7
7•6
7•5
Finished
#35
Botic van de Zandschulp
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Mariano Navone, the match favorite, shows solid form with 90% wins in his last 10 matches. Botic van de Zandschulp, less consistent (60% wins), will need to rely on his experience to create an upset. Statistics suggest a two-set match.
Our predictions
Mariano Navone to Win
Navone is the clear favorite (odds 1.66) and shows exceptional form with 90% wins in his last 10 matches. His statistics as a favorite (80% wins) and in non-Grand Slam matches (70% of matches in 2 sets) are very solid. No known injury concerns.
1.67
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Both players' statistics in non-Grand Slam matches indicate a high probability of a two-set match. Navone finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite, and van de Zandschulp 80%. This corresponds to a high implied odds for Under 2.5 Sets.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a two-set match (6-4, 6-4 or similar score), the total number of games should remain low. Navone's dominant form and van de Zandschulp's tendency to lose in two sets (80% of his defeats in 2 sets as a favorite) support this scenario. However, a tight set could push the total over the limit.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 22% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 77% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 66% |
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