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Zizou Bergs - Adrian Mannarino: our prediction

06/04/2026•12:55

Zizou Bergs

2:0

6•4

6•3

Finished

#22

Adrian Mannarino

Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarino Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

Zizou Bergs, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Adrian Mannarino at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Recent statistics show that Bergs is often pushed to three sets when favored, while Mannarino has a strong tendency to play close matches.

Our Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarino predictions

Zizou Bergs to Win

Bergs is clearly the favorite (odds 1.27). His statistics as a favorite (60% win rate) and his recent performance (100% wins with odds between 1.21 and 1.5) support this bet. No known injury alert.

1.22

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Bergs loses at least one set in 80% of his matches as a favorite. Mannarino wins at least one set in 60% of his matches as an underdog. Their historical tendencies suggest a three-set match.

2.7

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The probability of a three-set match increases the total number of games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Mannarino's tendency to play close sets supports this scenario.

2.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarino

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarino Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Zizou Bergs	Adrian Mannarino
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	14%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	85%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	42%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%