Emilio Nava vs Quentin Halys — Prediction
04/04/2026•11:10
#100
Emilio Nava
2:0
6•4
6•4
Finished
#44
Quentin Halys
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Qualifying match for the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters between Emilio Nava and Quentin Halys. Halys is the favorite according to the odds (1.76 vs. 1.94). Recent statistics show a slightly better form for Halys, with a 50% win rate compared to Nava's 40% over the last 10 matches. The match is played on clay, a surface that can favor more consistent and physical play.
Our predictions
Quentin Halys to Win
Halys is the odds favorite (1.76) and shows a higher win rate (50% vs. 40%) over the last 10 matches. His favorite status is reinforced by a 70% win rate when favored, compared to 50% for Nava. No reported injuries contradict this dynamic.
1.78
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) increases the likelihood of a high number of games. On clay, service games are less dominant, which can lead to more breaks and prolonged games. A win in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) already reaches 24 games.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Statistics show that both players often lose a set as the favorite (70% each). Furthermore, Nava wins at least one set as an underdog in 50% of cases. On clay, rallies can be long. This suggests a potentially tight match that could go to three sets.
2.25
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 44% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 55% | 80% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 50% |
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