Benjamin Bonzi vs Roberto Bautista Agut — Prediction
04/04/2026•12:50
#56
Benjamin Bonzi
0:2
4•6
3•6
Finished
#9
Roberto Bautista Agut
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Benjamin Bonzi faces Roberto Bautista Agut in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifiers. Bautista Agut is the favorite (odds 1.74) due to his experience and consistency on clay. Bonzi, struggling recently, will need to find his best form to cause an upset.
Our predictions
Victory for Roberto Bautista Agut
Bautista Agut is clearly the favorite (odds 1.74). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins). On clay, his experience and consistency should make the difference against Bonzi, who lacks confidence (only 10% wins as an outsider). No injuries reported.
1.73
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Player statistics as favorite/outsider on non-Grand Slam surfaces (like here) indicate a strong tendency for 2-set matches. As a favorite, Bautista Agut wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Bonzi, as an outsider, loses 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match (2-0 win for the favorite) is high.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If the match goes to 2 sets as expected, the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. Both players' win/loss statistics in 2 sets support this assumption. However, a tight set could push it over this threshold, hence a medium confidence level.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 90% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
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