Rugby

Tennis

Marie Bouzkova - Jazmin Ortenzi: our prediction

04/04/2026•18:10

#26

Marie Bouzkova

2:0

7•6

6•2

Finished

#123

Jazmin Ortenzi

Marie Bouzkova vs Jazmin Ortenzi Preview — Copa Colsanitas

Marie Bouzkova, the clear favorite, faces Jazmin Ortenzi, the underdog, at the Copa Colsanitas. Bouzkova, more experienced and in better recent form, is heavily favored. Ortenzi has shown an ability to win sets as an underdog, but a Bouzkova victory in two sets seems the most likely scenario.

Our Marie Bouzkova vs Jazmin Ortenzi predictions

Marie Bouzkova to Win

Marie Bouzkova is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.14). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (60% win rate overall, 100% when her odds are between 1.0 and 1.2). Her recent form is better than Ortenzi's. The gap in level and experience is significant.

1.14

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The match is best-of-three sets (non-Grand Slam). Bouzkova finishes her matches in 2 sets 80% of the time (all situations) and 70% of the time when she is the favorite. Ortenzi loses in 2 sets 60% of the time (all situations) and 80% of the time when she is the favorite. The probability of a two-set match is therefore high. Although Ortenzi could win a set (40% as an underdog), the statistical trend favors a short match.

1.32

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

Bouzkova wins 80% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. As a favorite with low odds, she loses a set 40% of the time. However, Ortenzi wins a set as an underdog 60% of the time, but only 50% against a favorite priced 1.21-1.5. A two-set victory (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) yields 20 games, under 22.5. A lost set could bring it close, but the probability of a short match remains high.

1.35

Confidence

High

Market signals on Marie Bouzkova vs Jazmin Ortenzi

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Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marie Bouzkova vs Jazmin Ortenzi Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marie Bouzkova	Jazmin Ortenzi
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	62%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	25%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%