Rugby

Tennis

Facundo Acosta - Hugo Dellien: our prediction

05/04/2026•16:10

Facundo Acosta

2:1

5•7

6•2

6•4

Finished

#11

Hugo Dellien

Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien Preview — Sao Leopoldo

Facundo Acosta, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Hugo Dellien in an ATP match in Sao Leopoldo. Acosta shows solid form (80% wins in the last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (90%). Dellien, although also performing well (80% wins), is less comfortable as an outsider. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a significant probability of seeing more than 2.5 sets.

Our Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien predictions

Facundo Acosta to Win

Acosta is designated as the favorite (odds 1.67). His statistics are impressive: 80% wins in the last 10 matches and 90% wins when favorite. He also shows a 60% rate of matches ending in 2 sets as a favorite (non-Grand Slam), indicating efficient closing ability. No injury alerts have been identified.

1.64

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with an Acosta win in 2 sets (60% probability as favorite) or even a tight three-set match. If Acosta wins in two sets, the total games are highly likely to stay under 22.5. Even in a three-set match, if the sets are one-sided (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-2), the total could remain low. Confidence is medium because Dellien could push Acosta and create longer sets.

1.82

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Both players' statistics suggest resilience. Acosta loses at least one set 40% of the time as a favorite. Dellien wins at least one set 60% of the time as an outsider. Their respective percentages of matches going to 3 sets (non-Grand Slam) are 30% for Acosta and 40% for Dellien. This, combined with both players' overall form, makes a three-set match plausible.

2.23

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Facundo Acosta	Hugo Dellien
Win \| Lose	8 2	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	16%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	20%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	66%

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