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Tennis

Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas: our prediction

07/04/2026•11:40

#489

Henry Bernet

0:2

4•6

1•6

Finished

#100

Alejandro Moro Canas

Henry Bernet vs Alejandro Moro Canas Preview — Madrid

ATP tennis match in Madrid between Henry Bernet (underdog) and Alejandro Moro Canas (favorite). The odds reflect Moro Canas' advantage (1.45 vs 2.58). Statistics show Bernet often loses (80% defeats in last 10 matches) but frequently wins a set as underdog (80%). Moro Canas has more solid form (60% wins as favorite). No injuries reported.

Our Henry Bernet vs Alejandro Moro Canas predictions

Alejandro Moro Canas to Win

Moro Canas is clearly favored with odds of 1.45. His statistics are superior: 60% wins as favorite (6/10) vs only 20% for Bernet (2/10). Bernet has lost 80% of his recent matches. The level difference appears significant.

1.44

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Bernet wins at least one set in 80% of his matches as underdog. Moro Canas loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as favorite. Set statistics show 60% of Bernet's matches (excluding Grand Slams) go to 3 sets, and 70% of his matches as underdog go to 3 sets. High probability of a 3-set match.

2.4

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a 3-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Even in 2 sets, if sets are close (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the limit is approached. Bernet's tendency to win sets as underdog and Moro Canas' tendency to lose them as favorite suggest potentially competitive sets.

1.98

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Henry Bernet vs Alejandro Moro Canas

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Henry Bernet vs Alejandro Moro Canas Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Henry Bernet	Alejandro Moro Canas
Win \| Lose	2 8	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	66%