Rugby

Tennis

Luka Pavlovic - Facundo Mena: our prediction

07/04/2026•19:10

#197

Luka Pavlovic

2:1

7•6

4•6

6•2

Finished

#35

Facundo Mena

Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena Preview — Mexico City

Luka Pavlovic faces Facundo Mena in Mexico City. Mena is the slight favorite (odds 1.79) against Pavlovic (1.9). Recent statistics show Pavlovic has slightly better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Mena). Both players tend to finish their matches in two sets, but Pavlovic shows a greater ability to win at least one set when he is the underdog.

Our Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Pavlovic finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets and Mena 80%. As the favorite, Mena finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match is therefore very high.

1.56

Confidence

High

Victory for Facundo Mena

Mena is designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.79). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins). However, Pavlovic has slightly better recent form (60% wins) and a good ability to win as an underdog (50%). The match is therefore balanced, but the odds and favorite status give Mena a slight edge.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Over 22.5 games in the match

Although the trend is towards a two-set match, statistics show that Pavlovic, when an underdog, often wins at least one set (70%). Mena, as the favorite, loses at least one set in 40% of cases. This could lead to a tight set, increasing the total number of games. However, the probability of a quick two-set match with clear scores (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) remains significant, hence low confidence in this bet.

1.57

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Luka Pavlovic	Facundo Mena
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	40%