Rugby

Tennis

Nuria Brancaccio - Jessika Ponchet: our prediction

06/04/2026•12:05

#169

Nuria Brancaccio

0:2

6•7

1•6

Finished

#128

Jessika Ponchet

Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessika Ponchet Preview — Madrid

Nuria Brancaccio, the favorite with odds of 1.43, faces Jessika Ponchet (odds 2.71) in Madrid. Brancaccio has mixed recent form (5W/5L) but performs better as a favorite. Ponchet has weak form (2W/8L) and struggles to win as an underdog. The match is expected to be close, with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessika Ponchet predictions

Nuria Brancaccio to win

Brancaccio is the favorite (odds 1.43) and has a 60% win rate as a favorite in her last 10 matches. Ponchet has only a 20% win rate over the same period and 10% as an underdog. Recent form and favorite status support Brancaccio.

1.42

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Brancaccio has 50% of her matches go to 3 sets (outside Grand Slams). Ponchet has 80% of her matches in 2 sets, but as an underdog, Brancaccio wins at least one set in 80% of cases. The probability of a three-set match is high.

2.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessika Ponchet

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessika Ponchet Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nuria Brancaccio	Jessika Ponchet
Win \| Lose	5 5	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	71%	20%