Cameron Norrie - Alex de Minaur: our prediction
08/04/2026
#11
Cameron Norrie
11:00
#7
Alex de Minaur
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1
-
X
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2
Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters
Alex de Minaur, the clear favorite (odds 1.37), faces Cameron Norrie (odds 2.92) at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Historical statistics show a tendency for two-set matches on clay outside Grand Slam events, with de Minaur displaying strong consistency as the favorite.
Our Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur predictions
Victory for Alex de Minaur
De Minaur is the designated favorite (odds 1.37). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% win rate overall). On clay outside Grand Slams, he wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets as the favorite. No known injury alerts. Norrie, although dangerous, has a lower win rate (50%) and odds reflecting his underdog status.
1.37
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
The match takes place in a Masters 1000 tournament (outside Grand Slams). The 'en2setall' statistics show that both players finish 70% of their matches in this format in 2 sets. Furthermore, as the favorite, de Minaur has a 60% chance of winning in 2 sets ('en2set'). The favorite/underdog dynamic and the surface (clay) suggest a match potentially concluded in two sets.
1.51
Confidence
High
Market signals on Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 85% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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