Jiri Lehecka vs Emilio Nava — Prediction
06/04/2026•13:10
#12
Jiri Lehecka
2:1
7•6
6•7
6•2
Finished
#100
Emilio Nava
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Jiri Lehecka, the clear favorite (odds 1.27), faces Emilio Nava at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Lehecka shows solid form (70% wins in last 10 matches) and excellent efficiency as a favorite (80% wins). Nava, the underdog (odds 3.58), has a more mixed record (50% wins) and often struggles to win as a favorite. On clay, Lehecka should control the match.
Our predictions
Jiri Lehecka to Win
Lehecka is the statistical and logical favorite. He has won 70% of his last 10 matches and, more importantly, 80% of his matches as a favorite. His low odds (1.27) reflect his superiority. Nava wins only 50% of his matches and only 50% as a favorite. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.
1.28
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
As the favorite (odds 1.27), Lehecka has a very high probability of winning in 2 sets (90% according to 'en2set' stats). Conversely, Nava, as the underdog, wins a set only 30% of the time against a favorite (stat 'win1set_asoutsider_g' at 50% for Nava, but the odds context is different). The probability of a match in 2 sets is therefore high.
1.45
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-0 win for Lehecka. If Lehecka wins 2-0 (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total games would be 19. Lehecka's stats as a favorite (90% wins in 2 sets, only 30% loss of a set) suggest control that can limit the number of games. However, a tight set could push the total over, hence medium confidence.
1.64
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 44% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 55% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 60% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers