Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesana — Prediction
06/04/2026•18:10
#14
Flavio Cobolli
2:1
7•5
2•6
6•3
Finished
#99
Francisco Comesana
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Flavio Cobolli, the favorite with odds of 1.62, faces Francisco Comesana (odds 2.23) at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Cobolli shows superior recent form (70% wins in the last 10 matches) and good efficiency as a favorite. Comesana, less consistent (40% wins), can be dangerous but his poor performance as an outsider (20%) disadvantages him. The match is played on clay, a demanding surface where experience and consistency are key. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Flavio Cobolli to Win
Cobolli is the clear favorite (odds 1.62) with solid recent form (70% wins in 10 matches). He shows a good win rate as a favorite (60%) and plays on clay, a surface suited to his game. Comesana has a low win rate as an outsider (20%) and less convincing form (40% wins). No injuries disrupt this advantage.
1.62
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Cobolli, although the favorite, often loses a set as a favorite (70% of cases in 10 matches). Comesana, as an outsider, wins at least one set in 50% of cases. The players' historical statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments show a tendency for 3-set matches (Cobolli 30%, Comesana 40%). The slow surface in Monte Carlo favors long rallies and comebacks.
2.26
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) makes over 22.5 games likely. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) totals 24 games. A 3-set match, even with an easy set, often exceeds this mark (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 = 29 games). The slow surface and both players' ability to hold serve on clay support this scenario.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 80% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 40% |
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