Alex Hernandez vs Karl Poling — Prediction
07/04/2026

#347

Alex Hernandez
20:30
Today

#234

Karl Poling
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Alex Hernandez faces Karl Poling in Mexico City. Hernandez is the favorite (odds 1.67) with mixed recent form (3 wins out of 10). Poling (odds 2.06) has very weak form (1 win out of 10). Statistics suggest a 2-set match (60-70% probability). No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Alex Hernandez to win
Hernandez is clearly the favorite (odds 1.67). Although his recent form is mixed (30% win rate), it is still superior to Poling's (10% win rate). Poling has lost 90% of his recent matches. Hernandez has also shown an ability to win sets as an outsider (60%), indicating competitiveness even against favorites. No injuries disrupt this dynamic.
1.67
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
The statistics are very clear: 60% of Hernandez's recent matches (excluding Grand Slams) ended in 2 sets, and 70% for Poling. This indicates a high probability of a two-set match (2-0 or 0-2 victory). Poling's weak form suggests he could be dominated quickly. The odds for Hernandez's straight win (1.67) are also consistent with a two-set scenario.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 1 9 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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