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Alex Hernandez - Karl Poling: our prediction

07/04/2026•21:00

#313

Alex Hernandez

2:0

7•5

6•4

Finished

#232

Karl Poling

Alex Hernandez vs Karl Poling Preview — Mexico City

Alex Hernandez faces Karl Poling in Mexico City. Hernandez is the favorite (odds 1.67) with mixed recent form (3 wins out of 10). Poling (odds 2.06) has very weak form (1 win out of 10). Statistics suggest a 2-set match (60-70% probability). No injuries reported.

Our Alex Hernandez vs Karl Poling predictions

Alex Hernandez to win

Hernandez is clearly the favorite (odds 1.67). Although his recent form is mixed (30% win rate), it is still superior to Poling's (10% win rate). Poling has lost 90% of his recent matches. Hernandez has also shown an ability to win sets as an outsider (60%), indicating competitiveness even against favorites. No injuries disrupt this dynamic.

1.56

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

The statistics are very clear: 60% of Hernandez's recent matches (excluding Grand Slams) ended in 2 sets, and 70% for Poling. This indicates a high probability of a two-set match (2-0 or 0-2 victory). Poling's weak form suggests he could be dominated quickly. The odds for Hernandez's straight win (1.67) are also consistent with a two-set scenario.

1.47

Confidence

High

Market signals on Alex Hernandez vs Karl Poling

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alex Hernandez vs Karl Poling Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alex Hernandez	Karl Poling
Win \| Lose	3 7	1 9
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	0%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%