Rugby

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Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin: our prediction

08/04/2026•06:40

#284

Daniil Ostapenkov

0:2

3•6

Finished

#202

Ilia Simakin

Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakin Preview — Wuning

In this ATP Wuning match, the favorite Ilia Simakin (odds 1.25) faces the outsider Daniil Ostapenkov (odds 3.59). Simakin shows solid form with 9 wins in his last 10 matches, while Ostapenkov has won 2 of his last 3 matches. Statistics indicate a high probability of a Simakin win, but also a marked tendency for the favorite's matches to go to three sets.

Our Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakin predictions

Ilia Simakin to Win

Ilia Simakin is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.25). His recent form is excellent with 9 wins in 10 matches (90%). As a favorite, he has won 90% of his matches (9/10). Daniil Ostapenkov, although winning 2 of his last 3 matches, is significantly less performant over the period. No injury information was found for either player.

1.27

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Set statistics strongly support this bet. As a favorite (odds 1.25), Simakin has played 80% (8/10) of his matches in 3 sets. Furthermore, in 70% (7/10) of his matches as a favorite, he has lost at least one set. Ostapenkov, as an outsider, has won at least one set in 100% (1/1) of his matches. The probability of a two-set match (under 2.5) is only 20% for Simakin as a favorite.

2.73

Confidence

High

Market signals on Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniil Ostapenkov	Ilia Simakin
Win \| Lose	2 1	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	100%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%