Damir Dzumhur vs Fabian Marozsan — Prediction
07/04/2026•13:20
#30
Damir Dzumhur
0:2
2•6
1•6
Finished
#43
Fabian Marozsan
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Damir Dzumhur faces Fabian Marozsan at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters on clay. Dzumhur, experienced on this surface, has mixed recent form. Marozsan, younger, shows a tendency for three-set matches. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Marozsan has a strong tendency for three-set matches (60% in his last 10 non-Major events). Dzumhur, struggling recently, can resist and push for a third set. The slow surface in Monte Carlo favors long rallies.
1.8
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of three sets, the total games should exceed 22.5. Both players have high set-loss statistics as favorites, indicating tight sets. Clay often produces extended games.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Fabian Marozsan to win
Marozsan is the bookmakers' favorite. He has better recent form (3 wins in 10) than Dzumhur (4 losses in 10). His aggressive game can work on clay against a low-confidence Dzumhur.
1.35
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 44% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 55% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 80% |
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