Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel: our prediction
09/04/2026•16:00

#105

Stefanos Sakellaridis
1:2
2•6
6•3
6•7
Finished

#88

Toby Samuel
-
1
-
X
-
2
Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel Preview — Madrid
Tight match between Stefanos Sakellaridis and Toby Samuel in Madrid. The odds are very close (1.86 vs 1.84), indicating a balanced encounter. Samuel is slightly favored. Recent form statistics show Samuel is more performant (9W/1L vs 6W/4L). Both players tend to finish their matches in two sets, suggesting a quick match.
Our Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel predictions
Under 2.5 Sets
The statistics are very clear: as a favorite (outside Grand Slams), Samuel finishes 90% of his matches in two sets. Sakellaridis, as an outsider, finishes 80% of his matches in two sets. The probability of a three-set match is low (10% for Samuel, 20% for Sakellaridis in these respective roles).
1.56
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 Games
Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in two sets (60% for Sakellaridis, 90% for Samuel as a favorite outside Grand Slams). A match in two sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games. Even with a tight set, the total should remain under 22.5 games.
1.82
Confidence
High
Toby Samuel to Win
Toby Samuel is slightly favored (odds 1.84) and shows superior recent form with 9 wins in his last 10 matches, compared to 6/10 for Sakellaridis. As a favorite, Samuel has a 90% win rate in his last 10 matches in that role. No known injury alerts.
1.83
Confidence
High
Market signals on Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 9 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 100% |
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