08/04/2026

#119

Daniil Glinka

17:30

Today

#109

Strong Kirchheimer

Match Preview

Daniil Glinka, the clear favorite (odds 1.23), faces Strong Kirchheimer (odds 3.73) in Sarasota. Glinka shows solid form as a favorite (80% win rate) and a strong tendency to finish matches in 2 sets (70%). Kirchheimer, often the underdog, struggles to win in that role (20% win rate) but can be competitive, with 50% of his recent matches going to 3 sets.

Our predictions

Daniil Glinka to Win

Glinka is the statistical and odds favorite. His performance as a favorite is excellent (80% win rate in last 10 matches). Kirchheimer has a low win rate as an underdog (20%). Recent form and favorite status strongly support Glinka.

1.22

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

The prediction of a 2-set match (Under 2.5) makes Under 22.5 games plausible. For the total to exceed 22.5 games in a 2-set match, very tight sets would be needed (e.g., 7-6, 7-6 = 26 games). While possible, Glinka's tendency to dominate as a favorite (70% wins in 2 sets) suggests he could win sets with comfortable margins, limiting the total number of games.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Daniil Glinka	Strong Kirchheimer
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	40%	80%

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