Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublik — Prediction
09/04/2026
#12
Jiri Lehecka
14:15
Today
#11
Alexander Bublik
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1
-
X
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2
Match Preview
Jiri Lehecka, the favorite (odds 1.79), faces Alexander Bublik (odds 2.00) at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters on clay. Lehecka shows solid form (70% win rate in last 10 matches) and strong performance as a favorite (80%). Bublik, more inconsistent (60% win rate), can be dangerous. No known injury alerts. The match could be tight, with a tendency towards three-set matches.
Our predictions
Jiri Lehecka to Win
Lehecka is the clear favorite (odds 1.79) and shows better recent form (70% win rate vs 60% for Bublik). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (80% win rate). On the clay courts of Monte Carlo, his consistency should make the difference against Bublik's unpredictable play.
1.8
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Player statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Bublik often loses a set as a favorite (70%) and often wins one as an outsider (40%). Lehecka, although solid, can drop a set (40% as a favorite). The slow surface in Monte Carlo favors long rallies.
2.24
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
With a predicted three-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Both players have high percentages of three-set matches in non-Grand Slam tournaments (Lehecka 30%, Bublik 50%). Even in two tight sets, the total can be reached. Clay, a slow surface, often generates more games per set.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 30% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 100% |
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