09/04/2026•11:10

Nicolas / Ariel

0:2

4•6

2•6

Finished

Sander / Sem

Match Preview

ATP match in Monza between Nicolas Barrientos and Sander Gille. Gille is the favorite with odds of 1.63, while Barrientos is the underdog at 2.14. Recent statistics show difficult form for Barrientos (3 wins in last 10 matches) and a tendency for 3-set matches when he is the underdog. Gille has won his last 3 matches in 2 sets.

Our predictions

Victory for Sander Gille

Sander Gille is clearly the favorite with odds of 1.63. His recent statistics are excellent: 3 wins in last 3 matches, all won in 2 sets. As favorite, he has a 100% win rate in his recent matches. Barrientos has difficult form (30% wins in last 10 matches) and loses 70% of his recent matches. No injury information was found for either player.

1.64

Confidence

High

Less than 22.5 games in the match

With the prediction of a 2-set match, the total number of games should be relatively low. Gille tends to win his matches in 2 sets, suggesting potentially one-sided sets. Barrientos has lost his last 3 matches, indicating he may struggle to keep up. A 2-set match with scores like 6-3, 6-4 would give 19 games, well below 22.5. However, if Barrientos manages to be competitive in one set, the total could approach the limit.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Barrientos	Sander Gille
Win \| Lose	3 7	3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	71%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	57%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%

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