Alexander Blockx vs Alex De Minaur — Prediction
09/04/2026

#9

Alexander Blockx
15:45
Today

#6

Alex de Minaur
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X
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2
Match Preview
Alex de Minaur, the clear favorite, faces young Alexander Blockx at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Recent statistics and odds indicate a significant advantage for de Minaur, but Blockx has shown an ability to win sets as an outsider.
Our predictions
Victory for Alex de Minaur
De Minaur is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.32). He shows a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches and a 70% win rate as a favorite. Blockx, on the other hand, has a 20% loss rate but has never beaten an opponent with such low odds (1.0-1.2). The gap in level and experience should be decisive.
1.32
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets
As a favorite (odds 1.21-1.5), de Minaur finishes his matches in 2 sets 67% of the time (victoir_fav_2: 2/3). Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam tournaments, he finishes in 2 sets 70% of the time (en2setall). Blockx, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets 40% of the time, but his high rate of winning at least one set (80%) suggests a risk. However, de Minaur's likely dominance on clay makes a 2-set match the most probable scenario.
1.48
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set match. If de Minaur wins 2-0, typical scores (6-3, 6-4) total 19 games, and tighter scores (7-5, 6-4) total 22 games. The main risk is that Blockx forces a tie-break or wins a set, which would increase the number of games. However, the likelihood of a short match and de Minaur's strength support this bet.
1.66
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
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