Rugby

Tennis

Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas: our prediction

10/04/2026•18:10

#167

Lautaro Midon

2:0

7•6

6•4

Finished

#61

Juan Pablo Varillas

Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas Preview — Campinas

Juan Pablo Varillas, the favorite (odds 1.57), faces Lautaro Midon (odds 2.24) in Campinas. Varillas, more experienced, is confident as a favorite, while Midon shows an ability to win sets as an underdog. No known injury alerts.

Our Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas predictions

Juan Pablo Varillas to Win

Varillas is clearly the favorite (odds 1.57). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% win rate overall (7/10) and 70% win rate specifically as a favorite. He has a high rate of 2-set wins (70%) in non-Grand Slam matches, suggesting an ability to control the match. Against Midon, who has a 30% win rate as an underdog, the statistical logic strongly favors Varillas.

1.59

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Varillas, as a favorite, wins 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Midon, as an underdog, loses 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match (2-0 win for Varillas) is high. Even if Midon wins a set, the most likely scenario remains a two-set match, supported by the statistical trends of both players in their respective roles.

1.52

Confidence

High

Market signals on Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lautaro Midon	Juan Pablo Varillas
Win \| Lose	7 3	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	44%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	55%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	75%

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