Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz — Prediction
09/04/2026
#23
Valentin Vacherot
16:30
Today
#7
Hubert Hurkacz
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X
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2
Match Preview
Valentin Vacherot, the betting favorite, faces Hubert Hurkacz at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Vacherot shows solid form (7 wins in last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (100% wins). Hurkacz, the underdog, has mixed statistics but can be dangerous. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Valentin Vacherot to Win
Vacherot is the favorite (odds 1.64) with excellent recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches). His statistics as a favorite are impressive: 100% wins (10/10) and only 30% loss of at least one set. Hurkacz struggles as an underdog (only 30% wins). The Monte Carlo surface (clay) may favor Vacherot, known for his all-court game.
1.65
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Vacherot has a strong tendency to win in 2 sets when favorite (70% of non-Grand Slam matches). Hurkacz, as underdog, often loses in 2 sets (50% of cases). Combined statistics show a high probability of a 2-set match. No indicator suggests a long match.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 2-set match, the total number of games should be limited. Vacherot, in form, can impose his pace and finish sets quickly. Hurkacz may resist in some games, but Vacherot's statistics as a favorite (few sets lost) support the idea of a match with a moderate number of games. Clay may lengthen rallies, hence medium confidence.
2.01
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 66% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 55% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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