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Elise Mertens - McCartney Kessler: our prediction

10/04/2026•19:00

Elise Mertens

1:1

7•6

2•6

3•3

Finished

#31

McCartney Kessler

Elise Mertens vs McCartney Kessler Preview — Billie Jean King Cup Qualifiers

Elise Mertens, experienced and highly ranked, faces McCartney Kessler, young and less experienced, in the Billie Jean King Cup qualifiers. Mertens is a strong favorite with odds of 1.39. Her statistics as a favorite are solid, with an 80% win rate and 90% of matches won in 2 sets. Kessler, the underdog, has shown an ability to win sets, but the difference in level should be decisive.

Our Elise Mertens vs McCartney Kessler predictions

Victory for Elise Mertens

Mertens is clearly superior in terms of experience and ranking. Her statistics as a favorite are excellent: 80% wins in her last 10 matches in this role. Kessler, although recently in form (60% wins), has little experience at this level. No injuries reported. The odds of 1.39 reflect this clear superiority.

1.31

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

When she is the favorite, Mertens finishes her matches in 2 sets 90% of the time (9/10). Kessler, as an underdog, wins at least one set 60% of the time, but against such a solid favorite, it is likely that Mertens will control the match and win in two sets. The competition format (non-Grand Slam) reinforces this trend.

1.44

Confidence

High

Market signals on Elise Mertens vs McCartney Kessler

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Elise Mertens vs McCartney Kessler Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Elise Mertens	McCartney Kessler
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	60%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	20%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	80%

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