Marina Bassols Ribera - Elvina Kalieva: our prediction
10/04/2026•11:10
#161
Marina Bassols Ribera
2:0
6•4
6•1
Finished
#110
Elvina Kalieva
-
1
-
X
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2
Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva Preview — Madrid
Marina Bassols Ribera faces Elvina Kalieva in Madrid. Kalieva is the favorite with odds of 1.42, but Bassols Ribera has shown an ability to win sets as an underdog. Recent statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.
Our Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a 60% rate of matches ending in 2 sets in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. Kalieva, the favorite, wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets as a favorite. Bassols Ribera, as an underdog, wins 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match is high.
1.44
Confidence
High
Victory for Elvina Kalieva
Kalieva is clearly the favorite (odds 1.42). She has slightly better form (6 wins/last 10 matches vs 5 for Bassols Ribera). Her win rate as a favorite is 70% and she is effective at low odds (100% for odds 1.0-1.2, 80% for 1.21-1.5). No injuries reported.
1.38
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Although a two-set match is likely, the players' resilience statistics suggest tight sets. Bassols Ribera wins at least one set as an underdog in 60% of cases, and Kalieva loses one set as a favorite in 40% of cases. A match in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games) or a decisive third set could easily exceed the 22.5 game mark.
2.42
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalieva Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 37% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 87% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 20% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 20% | 75% |
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