Jakub Paul vs Sander Gille — Prediction
11/04/2026
Jakub / Matej
14:00
Today
Sander / Sem
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X
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2
Match Preview
Jakub Paul, the betting favorite (1.64), faces Sander Gille (2.11) in Monza. Paul shows mixed form (3W/7L in last 10 matches) but good efficiency as a favorite (60% win rate). Gille, with little recent data (0W/3L), appears to be struggling. The match should be close, with a tendency towards two-set matches for Paul.
Our predictions
Jakub Paul to Win
Jakub Paul is the clear bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.64 vs 2.11). His statistics as a favorite are solid (60% win rate). Sander Gille shows very weak form in his recent matches (0 wins, 3 losses). Momentum and confidence are clearly in Paul's favor.
1.64
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
Jakub Paul tends to finish his matches in two sets (60% of his non-Grand Slam matches). As a favorite, he often loses a set (60% of the time), which can lead to tight sets. However, Gille's weak form suggests he could lose sets decisively (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), limiting the total number of games.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 0% |
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