Rugby

Tennis

Polina Kudermetova - Lisa Pigato: our prediction

11/04/2026•11:05

#75

Polina Kudermetova

1:2

0•6

6•2

1•6

Finished

#138

Lisa Pigato

Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato Preview — Madrid

Polina Kudermetova, the clear favorite, faces Lisa Pigato. Kudermetova shows solid form with 80% wins in her last 10 matches, while Pigato struggles with only 30%. Statistics suggest a match likely in two sets, with a clear advantage for the favorite.

Our Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato predictions

Polina Kudermetova to Win

Kudermetova is the logical favorite (odds 1.39). Her recent form is excellent (8W/2L), far superior to Pigato's (3W/7L). Her statistics as a favorite (70% win rate) and high rate of 2-set wins (80% as favorite outside Majors) support this prediction. No known injury alerts.

1.41

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Both players have a 70% rate of 2-set matches in their last 10 matches outside Majors. Kudermetova, as a favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Pigato, as an outsider, loses 60% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match is therefore high, consistent with the Kudermetova win prediction.

1.5

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with a two-set match. If Kudermetova dominates as expected (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total games would be 19. Form statistics show Kudermetova often wins clearly, and Pigato loses frequently. However, Pigato could win a few games, so the margin is tighter than for other bets.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Polina Kudermetova	Lisa Pigato
Win \| Lose	8 2	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	66%