11/04/2026

#17

Francesco Maestrelli

10:30

Today

#52

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Match Preview

Francesco Maestrelli faces Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Barcelona Open qualification on clay. Merida Aguilar is the favorite with odds of 1.44, while Maestrelli is the underdog at 2.62. Recent statistics show stronger form for Merida Aguilar, with a 60% win rate in the last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Maestrelli. No injuries reported.

Our predictions

Daniel Merida Aguilar to Win

Merida Aguilar is clearly the favorite (odds 1.44). In the last 10 matches, he has a 60% win rate compared to 30% for Maestrelli. As a favorite, he wins 80% of his matches. His recent form and statistics put him in a strong position.

1.44

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Merida Aguilar, although favorite, loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as favorite. Maestrelli, as underdog, wins at least one set in 40% of his matches. Set statistics (80% of Merida Aguilar's matches go to 3 sets) suggest a potentially tight match.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Francesco Maestrelli	Daniel Merida Aguilar
Win \| Lose	3 7	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	33%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	37%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	62%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	60%	75%

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