11/04/2026

#43

Sebastian Ofner

13:30

Today

#289

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Match Preview

Sebastian Ofner, the clear favorite (odds 1.24), faces qualifier Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the first round of the Barcelona Open qualifiers. Ofner, more experienced and in better recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches), is widely expected to win. Sanchez Quilez, less consistent, could nevertheless offer some resistance.

Our predictions

Sebastian Ofner to Win

Ofner is the designated favorite (odds 1.24) with superior form (70% win rate in 10 matches vs. 44% for Sanchez Quilez). He has solid experience as a favorite (70% win rate in that role). No known injury alert contradicts this status.

1.25

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

When favored outside Majors, Ofner finishes his matches in 2 sets 60% of the time (6/10). Sanchez Quilez, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets 62.5% of the time (5/8). The probability of a short match is therefore significant, although Ofner sometimes loses a set (50% of the time as a favorite).

1.43

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Sebastian Ofner	Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Win \| Lose	7 3	4 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	62%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	100%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%

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