Rugby

Tennis

Emilio Nava - David Goffin: our prediction

11/04/2026•15:50

#71

Emilio Nava

2:0

6•4

6•2

Finished

David Goffin

Emilio Nava vs David Goffin Preview — BMW Open, Qualification

Emilio Nava, the betting favorite, faces the experienced David Goffin in the BMW Open qualifiers. Nava shows better recent form (4W/6L) compared to Goffin (2W/8L). Statistics suggest a tight match with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Emilio Nava vs David Goffin predictions

Over 2.5 sets

Player statistics as favorite/underdog indicate a strong tendency for three-set matches. Nava (favorite) loses at least one set in 70% of cases, and Goffin (underdog) wins one in 70% of cases. Nava's odds (1.47) fall within a range where both players have historically often played long matches.

2.45

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games

The prediction of over 2.5 sets very likely implies a high total number of games. A three-set match (6-4, 4-6, 6-4) already exceeds 22.5 games. Given the offensive profiles and statistics of tight sets, the 22.5 games threshold should be surpassed.

1.91

Confidence

High

Emilio Nava to win

Nava is the logical favorite (odds 1.47) due to his superior recent form (4W/6L vs. 2W/8L for Goffin). He has a good win rate as a favorite (60%). However, his tendency to lose sets (70%) and Goffin's experience make this bet risky for a straightforward two-set win.

1.44

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Emilio Nava vs David Goffin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Emilio Nava vs David Goffin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Emilio Nava	David Goffin
Win \| Lose	4 6	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	44%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	55%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	16%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%