Marko Topo vs Ugo Blanchet — Prediction
11/04/2026
#257
Marko Topo
11:30
Today
#160
Ugo Blanchet
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
BMW Open qualification match on clay between Marko Topo and Ugo Blanchet. Blanchet is the bookmakers' favorite, but Topo shows solid recent form and an excellent ability to win at least one set as an underdog. A tight match is expected.
Our predictions
Marko Topo to Win
Marko Topo shows better recent form (6 wins out of 10) and excellent performance as an underdog (60% wins). He systematically wins at least one set as an underdog (100%). Against Blanchet, the favorite but with less convincing form (4/10) and difficulties as an underdog (20%), Topo has solid arguments to win.
1.91
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Topo always wins at least one set as an underdog (100%). Blanchet, as a favorite, loses at least one set in 50% of cases. Furthermore, statistics show that 50% of Topo's non-Major matches go to 3 sets, and 30% for Blanchet. The probability of a three-set match is high.
2.25
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
A three-set match on clay has a high probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in two sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the limit is close. Considering the players' profiles and the probability of a close match, the over is plausible.
1.91
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 33% |
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