11/04/2026

#32

Xinyu Wang

13:00

Today

#250

Manon Leonard

Match Preview

Xinyu Wang, the clear favorite (odds 1.09), faces Manon Leonard in the Rouen qualifiers. Wang, ranked much higher, shows solid form (70% win rate as favorite) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (90% as favorite). Leonard, the outsider (odds 6.5), has less convincing recent statistics (30% overall win rate). No known injury alerts. The match should be dominated by Wang, with a likely victory in two sets.

Our predictions

Victory for Xinyu Wang

Wang is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.09). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (70% win rate). She shows superior recent form (40% wins in last 10 matches vs 30% for Leonard) and her WTA ranking is much higher. No injuries reported. The odds value is low, but the probability of victory is very high.

1.08

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games in the match

If Wang dominates as expected in 2 sets (6-3, 6-3 or 6-2, 6-2), the total games would be 18 or 20, well below 22.5. However, occasional resistance from Leonard or a tighter set could push it over this threshold. The probability of a short match is high, but the 'under' bet on games is more speculative than the simple win in 2 sets.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Xinyu Wang	Manon Leonard
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	55%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	75%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	25%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	33%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%

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