Lorenzo Giustino vs Sumit Nagal — Prediction
11/04/2026•15:15
#149
Lorenzo Giustino
1:1
6•1
3•6
Finished
#92
Sumit Nagal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
BMW Open qualification match between Lorenzo Giustino and Sumit Nagal. Recent statistics show Giustino performs well as a favorite, while Nagal tends to play tight matches. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Sumit Nagal to Win
Sumit Nagal has a better ranking and more consistent form. His statistics as an outsider (30% wins) and his ability to win at least one set (70%) show his resilience. Giustino struggles as an outsider (20% wins).
1.5
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Both players have a strong tendency to play 3-set matches (Giustino 70%, Nagal 60% outside Majors). Nagal often loses a set as a favorite (80%), and Giustino can win one as an outsider (40%).
2.2
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a 3-set match, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Tight sets are likely, given both players' resilience statistics.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 14% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 42% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 83% |
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