Rugby

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Marin Cilic - Daniel Altmaier: our prediction

14/04/2026•15:15

Marin Cilic

0:2

2•6

3•6

Finished

#46

Daniel Altmaier

Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaier Preview — BMW Open

Marin Cilic, favorite (odds 1.62), faces Daniel Altmaier (odds 2.24) at the BMW Open. Cilic shows a strong tendency to win his matches in two sets (90% as favorite outside Majors). Altmaier has more difficulties as a favorite and often loses a set. No known injury alert.

Our Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaier predictions

Marin Cilic to Win

Cilic is clearly the favorite (odds 1.62). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% win rate overall and 90% wins in 2 sets outside Majors. Altmaier has only a 50% win rate as a favorite and loses a set 80% of the time in that role. Cilic's experience and form should make the difference.

1.67

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Cilic finishes his matches in 2 sets 90% of the time when he is the favorite outside Majors. Altmaier, as an underdog, wins a set only 30% of the time. The probability of a two-set match (clean win for Cilic) is very high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 Sets' bet.

1.58

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a two-set match (6-4, 6-4 = 20 games; 6-3, 6-3 = 18 games), the total number of games should remain low. Cilic's statistics (dominant wins as favorite) and Altmaier's (difficulty winning sets) suggest a potentially one-sided match, limiting the total number of games.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaier

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaier Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marin Cilic	Daniel Altmaier
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	71%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%