Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotov — Prediction
12/04/2026
#171
Harry Wendelken
08:00
Today
#71
Pavel Kotov
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X
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2
Match Preview
Pavel Kotov, the clear favorite (odds 1.70), faces Harry Wendelken (odds 2.04) in an ATP match in Wuning. Kotov is in impeccable form (10 wins in last 10 matches) and wins 100% of his matches as the favorite. Wendelken, often a performing underdog (80% wins in that role), could make the match tight, but Kotov's consistency should prevail, potentially in three sets.
Our predictions
Pavel Kotov to Win
Pavel Kotov is the designated favorite (odds 1.70) and shows exceptional form with 10 consecutive wins and a 100% win rate as the favorite. His opponent, Harry Wendelken, although solid as an underdog (80% wins), does not have the same level of consistency. No injury information was found. The odds are attractive for a player so dominant recently.
1.69
Confidence
Very high
Over 22.5 games in the match
The probability of a three-set match (see previous analysis) significantly increases the total number of games. Even in a two-set scenario, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total games can exceed 22.5. Wendelken's tendency to be competitive and Kotov's tendency to sometimes concede tight sets supports this bet.
1.83
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Harry Wendelken wins at least one set in 90% of his matches as an underdog. Pavel Kotov, although the favorite, loses one set in 40% of his matches as the favorite. Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam matches, Kotov plays 60% of his matches in 3 sets. The combination of Wendelken's resilience and Kotov's tendency to concede a set makes a three-set scenario likely.
2.25
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 10 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 37% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 62% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 88% | 80% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
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