Alycia Parks - Viktoriya Tomova: our prediction

Alycia Parks is the designated favorite (odds 1.78). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (60% wins in the last 10 matches). She faces Viktoriya Tomova who, although very strong as a favorite (80%), is the underdog here. Parks' recent overall form (4 wins out of 10) is slightly lower than Tomova's (6/10), but the favorite status and odds support her success.

The players' statistics in non-Grand Slam matches indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Parks has a 30% rate of three-set matches as a favorite, and Tomova also has 30%. Furthermore, Parks loses at least one set in 50% of her matches as a favorite, and Tomova, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 20% of cases. The combination suggests Tomova's resilience could push the match to a third set.

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games mark. Even in a two-set scenario, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total reaches 22 games. The probability of a contested match, with potentially tight sets, supports this bet. However, a clear two-set victory (e.g., 6-3, 6-3) remains possible, hence a medium confidence level.