Rugby

Tennis

Emilio Nava - Alex Molcan: our prediction

12/04/2026•12:20

#81

Emilio Nava

0:2

1•6

6•7

Finished

#44

Alex Molcan

Emilio Nava vs Alex Molcan Preview — BMW Open, Qualification

BMW Open qualification match on clay between Emilio Nava (favorite, odds 1.74) and Alex Molcan (odds 2.01). Nava shows solid form as a favorite (70% win rate), while Molcan performs better as an underdog. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.

Our Emilio Nava vs Alex Molcan predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Both players have high three-set match statistics (40% each outside Majors). Nava often loses a set as a favorite (60%), and Molcan often wins a set as an underdog (50%). The odds of 2.01 offer good value.

2.25

Confidence

High

Emilio Nava to win

Nava is designated as the favorite (odds 1.74). He has a 70% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches, compared to 80% for Molcan, but Molcan is the underdog here. Nava's recent form (5W/5L) is solid, and he performs better in this setup.

1.7

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A three-set match (prediction 1) typically exceeds the 22.5 games mark. Even in two sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can be reached. The probability of three sets supports this bet.

1.89

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Emilio Nava vs Alex Molcan

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Emilio Nava vs Alex Molcan Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Emilio Nava	Alex Molcan
Win \| Lose	5 5	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	14%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	85%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	44%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	55%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%