Rugby

Tennis

Eva Lys - Paula Badosa: our prediction

14/04/2026•18:55

#38

Eva Lys

2:1

2•6

7•5

6•4

Finished

Paula Badosa

Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa Preview — Porsche Tennis Grand Prix

Paula Badosa, clear favorite (odds 1.33), faces Eva Lys (odds 3.21) at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix. Badosa shows superior form (60% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (80%) when favored. Lys, the underdog, struggles to win (30% wins) but often manages to win a set (60%). No known injury alerts. The match should be dominated by Badosa, with a possibility for Lys to win a set.

Our Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa predictions

Paula Badosa to Win

Badosa is the logical favorite (odds 1.33). Her form statistics are superior (60% wins vs 30% for Lys). As a favorite, she wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets (indicator 'en2set'). No reported injuries contradict this status.

1.33

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

The favorite Badosa finishes 80% of her matches (as favorite) in 2 sets. Lys, as an underdog, loses 70% of her matches. Even if Lys can win a set (60% probability as underdog), Badosa's strong tendency to finish quickly points to a 2-set match.

1.43

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a likely Badosa win in 2 sets, the total number of games should be contained. If Badosa dominates (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), it reaches 19 games. Even with a tight set, a score like 7-5, 6-3 gives 21 games. The most likely scenario (2 sets) and Badosa's form suggest a match under the 22.5 games threshold.

1.55

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Eva Lys	Paula Badosa
Win \| Lose	3 7	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	55%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	25%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	40%

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