Zsombor Piros vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction
12/04/2026

#123

Zsombor Piros
12:45
Today

#51

Jurij Rodionov
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Match Preview
Zsombor Piros, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Jurij Rodionov in an ATP match in Madrid. Both players show solid form with 80% wins in their last 10 matches. Piros is slightly favored based on odds and his statistics as a favorite, but Rodionov has proven his ability to win sets as an underdog. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Victory for Zsombor Piros
Piros is designated as the favorite (odds 1.66). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 90% wins (9/10). He has an overall win rate of 80% in his last 10 matches. Although Rodionov is also in form, Piros's odds and favorite status put him in a strong position.
1.64
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Player statistics suggest a close match. As a favorite, Piros loses at least one set 60% of the time. Rodionov, as an underdog, wins at least one set 60% of the time. Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam matches, Rodionov plays 60% of his matches in 3 sets. A 2-0 victory for Piros is not guaranteed.
2.28
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of over 2.5 sets makes this bet consistent. A match in 3 sets (e.g., 7-5, 4-6, 6-4) easily exceeds 22.5 games. Even a match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) can reach 25 games. Given the likelihood of close sets and the 3-set scenario, the over is plausible.
1.87
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 66% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 83% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
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