Rugby

Tennis

Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche: our prediction

14/04/2026•13:50

#137

Timofey Skatov

0:2

1•6

4•6

Finished

#70

Luca Van Assche

Timofey Skatov vs Luca Van Assche Preview — Oeiras 3

Luca Van Assche, the clear favorite (odds 1.49), faces Timofey Skatov (odds 2.45) in an ATP clay-court match in Oeiras. Van Assche shows superior form (6W/4L vs 3W/7L) and excellent efficiency as a favorite (90% win rate). Skatov, often the underdog, can be dangerous but his consistency is in doubt. A match likely dominated by the favorite, with limited risk of a long battle.

Our Timofey Skatov vs Luca Van Assche predictions

Luca Van Assche to Win

Van Assche is the legitimate favorite (odds 1.49). His recent form is better (6W/4L vs 3W/7L). His statistics as a favorite are impressive: 90% win rate (9/10) and only 20% chance of dropping a set. Facing a struggling opponent (Skatov 30% overall win rate), the sporting logic strongly favors him.

1.46

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

The data supports a short match. As a favorite, Van Assche finishes 90% of his matches in 2 sets. Skatov, as an underdog, loses 90% of his matches in 2 sets. The combined probability of a match in 2 sets is very high. The odds for 'Under 2.5 sets' are often close to 1.50, reflecting this high probability.

1.51

Confidence

High

Market signals on Timofey Skatov vs Luca Van Assche

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Timofey Skatov vs Luca Van Assche Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Timofey Skatov	Luca Van Assche
Win \| Lose	3 7	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	57%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	42%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	28%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	71%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	20%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	14%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	50%

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